Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 71.3% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Carrick 54.2% (+6.6%)
Offensive zone
Toews 78.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 55.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Toews
Carrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
55.5% (470)
+7.1%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
66.7% (3)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
50.0% (58)
-3.1%
On power play, Carrick has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Toews is 71.3% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Toews shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Toews
Carrick
Home
61.1% (455)
58.6% (261)
Away
62.1% (448)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Toews
Carrick
P1
59.7%
55.9%
P2
66.7%
53.5%
P3
58.4%
55.6%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
58.7%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%