Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 60.4% vs Monahan 52.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 74.3%
Defensive zone
Toews 60.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 68.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Toews
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Toews
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
0
Toews
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
62.6% (728)
53.0% (874)
+9.6%
Power Play
59.4% (143)
54.7% (161)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (32)
47.5% (101)
-0.6%
On even strength, Toews has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Toews shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Toews
Monahan
Home
61.1% (455)
53.8% (558)
Away
62.1% (448)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Toews
Monahan
P1
59.7%
49.5%
P2
66.7%
54.8%
P3
58.4%
52.8%
OT
80.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
58.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |