Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (68% H2H, 63 meetings). Toews wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 57.9% vs Monahan 51.2% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 96-80 in 176 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 67.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 75.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 69.5%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 71.2%
71.2%
28.8%
Toews
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
96
-
80
(176 meetings)
96
80
Toews
Monahan
Last 10: Toews 6-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
26
43
Toews
Monahan
69 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
43
20
Toews
Monahan
63 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
27
17
Toews
Monahan
44 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (13,079)
51.1% (11,407)
+6.1%
Power Play
63.3% (3,254)
53.6% (2,582)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (1,810)
45.9% (772)
+7.7%
On power play, Toews has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Toews is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,675).
Toews shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Toews
Monahan
Home
59.7% (9,212)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
56.1% (8,962)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Toews
Monahan
P1
58.6%
51.0%
P2
57.9%
51.7%
P3
57.3%
51.0%
OT
58.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
58.2%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
57.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 15:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 12:59 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:26 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2022 | 1 | 19:03 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:19 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 23, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 12:17 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |