Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.4%). Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Lowry wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.3% vs Staal 54.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 52.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 58.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Lowry
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Lowry
Staal
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Lowry
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
2
Lowry
Staal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
4
Lowry
Staal
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (491)
54.2% (943)
+2.0%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
69.6% (79)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (140)
50.8% (262)
-7.2%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lowry is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Lowry shoots left. Staal is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (832).
Home / Away
Lowry
Staal
Home
57.8% (341)
55.0% (593)
Away
49.4% (308)
54.0% (691)
By Period
Lowry
Staal
P1
53.2%
54.3%
P2
54.4%
53.5%
P3
53.0%
55.2%
OT
80.0%
58.6%
Final 5 min
58.5%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 09:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 09:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:06 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |