Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 54.6% vs Staal 58.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 62.7%
Defensive zone
Toews 56.1%
Neutral zone
Toews 62.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Toews
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Toews
Staal
Last 8: Toews 1-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Toews
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Toews
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
3
Toews
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,153)
59.1% (888)
-4.3%
Power Play
58.8% (233)
66.9% (121)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (166)
52.6% (156)
-2.6%
On power play, Staal has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Toews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Toews shoots left. Staal is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Home / Away
Toews
Staal
Home
58.7% (784)
61.2% (600)
Away
51.0% (768)
56.9% (566)
By Period
Toews
Staal
P1
54.0%
57.5%
P2
57.4%
60.1%
P3
52.6%
59.1%
OT
64.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
54.9%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 11:46 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 11:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 3 | 00:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 09:24 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2016 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |