Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs MacLean 48.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacLean 64.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.4%
Neutral zone
MacLean 51.8%
Result
Kyle MacLean favored at 64.9%
35.1%
64.9%
Staal
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
1
Staal
MacLean
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
47.6% (540)
+9.4%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
66.7% (3)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
60.9% (23)
-15.8%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
Staal
MacLean
Home
54.3% (667)
47.6% (273)
Away
54.7% (662)
48.8% (293)
By Period
Staal
MacLean
P1
56.2%
45.5%
P2
57.0%
48.8%
P3
49.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
MacLean
60.0%▲
54.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |