Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs MacLean 47.9% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 84.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 73.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Staal
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
MacLean
Last 6: Staal 4-2 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
1
Staal
MacLean
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
MacLean
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
47.2% (852)
+8.7%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
62.5% (8)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
56.7% (30)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, MacLean has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. MacLean is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Home / Away
Staal
MacLean
Home
56.4% (9,699)
46.9% (429)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
48.4% (461)
By Period
Staal
MacLean
P1
55.2%
46.4%
P2
55.9%
49.7%
P3
54.8%
46.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
MacLean
54.0%▼
56.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |