Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — MacLean shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs MacLean 47.7% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 69.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Staal
MacLean
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Staal
MacLean
Last 6: Staal 4-2 MacLean
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacLean
0
1
Staal
MacLean
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
MacLean
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
MacLean
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
47.0% (837)
+9.0%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
62.5% (8)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
56.7% (30)
-8.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacLean shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. MacLean is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (565).
Home / Away
Staal
MacLean
Home
56.4% (9,518)
46.7% (424)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
48.1% (451)
By Period
Staal
MacLean
P1
55.1%
46.3%
P2
56.0%
49.1%
P3
55.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
MacLean
60.0%▲
54.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:01 | Offensive | Kyle MacLean |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 15:11 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Kyle MacLean |