Jordan Staal vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Celebrini 48.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 56.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 85.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Staal
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Staal
Celebrini
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Celebrini
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Celebrini
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
47.8% (993)
+8.4%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
54.1% (111)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
56.0% (25)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Staal
Celebrini
Home
55.4% (699)
48.5% (538)
Away
54.4% (702)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Staal
Celebrini
P1
55.7%
48.1%
P2
54.7%
46.8%
P3
53.4%
51.0%
OT
70.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |