Jordan Staal vs Macklin Celebrini
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 16 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Celebrini 48.5% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 80.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.1%
Neutral zone
Celebrini 62.8%
Result
Macklin Celebrini favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Staal
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
15
(28 meetings)
13
15
Staal
Celebrini
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
6
10
Staal
Celebrini
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
Celebrini
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
2
3
Staal
Celebrini
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
47.5% (1,894)
+8.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
54.4% (250)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
55.6% (36)
-7.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Celebrini is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,486).
Home / Away
Staal
Celebrini
Home
56.4% (9,699)
48.0% (1,091)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
48.9% (1,089)
By Period
Staal
Celebrini
P1
55.2%
47.4%
P2
55.9%
46.6%
P3
54.8%
51.4%
OT
56.2%
47.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:24 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 11:31 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 16:32 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 07:52 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |