Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.9% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Kastelic 53.5% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kastelic 70.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.7%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 58.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.7%
54.7%
45.3%
Staal
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Staal
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
53.4% (337)
+5.5%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
100.0% (4)
-31.6%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
75.0% (8)
-23.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Staal is 59.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Staal shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Staal
Kastelic
Home
57.0% (646)
56.2% (162)
Away
59.1% (729)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Staal
Kastelic
P1
55.9%
58.2%
P2
55.4%
58.8%
P3
62.0%
45.4%
Final 5 min
63.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
58.1%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2024 | 3 | 17:37 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |