Jordan Staal vs Mason McTavish

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Staal 54.6% vs McTavish 49.1% (+5.9%)
H2H factor Staal leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone Staal 52.2%
Defensive zone Staal 81.8%
Neutral zone Staal 56.9%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Staal McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
10 - 8 (18 meetings)
10
8
Staal McTavish
Last 10: Staal 7-3 McTavish

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal McTavish
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
2
3
Staal McTavish
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Staal McTavish
6 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Staal
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
47.6% (618)
+8.6%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
58.3% (103)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
33.3% (6)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +9.4% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. McTavish is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Staal
McTavish
Home
55.4% (699)
52.2% (391)
Away
54.4% (702)
45.2% (336)
By Period
Staal
McTavish
P1
55.7%
50.2%
P2
54.7%
47.7%
P3
53.4%
49.2%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
45.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%
52.5%
54.9%
McTavish
48.0%
45.5%
49.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 8, 2026 3 14:26 Neutral Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 3 11:43 Offensive Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 3 05:06 Defensive Mason McTavish
Jan 8, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 2 17:40 Offensive Mason McTavish
Jan 8, 2026 2 15:07 Offensive Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 2 02:51 Offensive Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 2 00:09 Offensive Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Mason McTavish
Jan 8, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Jordan Staal
Oct 16, 2025 3 14:59 Defensive Jordan Staal
Oct 16, 2025 3 13:23 Defensive Jordan Staal
Oct 16, 2025 2 18:10 Offensive Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2025 2 10:22 Neutral Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2025 2 06:57 Defensive Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2025 1 15:31 Offensive Jordan Staal
Oct 16, 2025 1 00:09 Defensive Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Mason McTavish