Jordan Staal vs Mason McTavish

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 20 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Staal 55.3% vs McTavish 48.7% (+6.6%)
H2H factor Staal leads 30-25 in 55 meetings
Offensive zone Staal 57.1%
Defensive zone Staal 82.9%
Neutral zone Staal 65.6%
Result Jordan Staal favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Staal McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
30 - 25 (55 meetings)
30
25
Staal McTavish
Last 10: Staal 7-3 McTavish

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
9
8
Staal McTavish
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
12
8
Staal McTavish
20 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Staal McTavish
18 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Staal
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
48.2% (2,790)
+7.7%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
52.8% (436)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
34.3% (35)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +13.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
Staal
McTavish
Home
56.4% (9,699)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Staal
McTavish
P1
55.2%
50.0%
P2
55.9%
47.7%
P3
54.8%
48.4%
OT
56.2%
43.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%
52.5%
55.3%
McTavish
48.0%
45.5%
48.7%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 8, 2026 3 14:26 Neutral Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 3 11:43 Offensive Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 3 05:06 Defensive Mason McTavish
Jan 8, 2026 3 00:00 Neutral Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 2 17:40 Offensive Mason McTavish
Jan 8, 2026 2 15:07 Offensive Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 2 02:51 Offensive Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 2 00:09 Offensive Jordan Staal
Jan 8, 2026 2 00:00 Neutral Mason McTavish
Jan 8, 2026 1 00:00 Neutral Jordan Staal
Oct 16, 2025 3 14:59 Defensive Jordan Staal
Oct 16, 2025 3 13:23 Defensive Jordan Staal
Oct 16, 2025 2 18:10 Offensive Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2025 2 10:22 Neutral Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2025 2 06:57 Defensive Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2025 1 15:31 Offensive Jordan Staal
Oct 16, 2025 1 00:09 Defensive Mason McTavish
Oct 16, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Mason McTavish
Mar 23, 2025 3 12:52 Offensive Jordan Staal
Mar 23, 2025 3 10:05 Defensive Jordan Staal