Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Backlund 49.8% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 69.4%
Defensive zone
Backlund 79.6%
Neutral zone
Backlund 58.0%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Staal
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Staal
Backlund
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
0
Staal
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
6
Staal
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
Staal
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
50.5% (944)
+5.7%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
51.5% (66)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
47.1% (297)
-4.4%
On power play, Staal has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Staal
Backlund
Home
55.4% (699)
48.1% (636)
Away
54.4% (702)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Staal
Backlund
P1
55.7%
45.4%
P2
54.7%
54.1%
P3
53.4%
49.2%
OT
70.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 05:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 04:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 04:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:42 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 30, 2025 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |