Jordan Staal vs Mikael Backlund

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Jordan Staal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 31 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Staal 55.3% vs Backlund 49.0% (+6.3%)
H2H factor Backlund leads 55-55 in 110 meetings
Offensive zone Backlund 54.9%
Defensive zone Backlund 59.3%
Neutral zone Backlund 58.4%
Result Mikael Backlund favored at 57.8%
42.2%
57.8%
Staal Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
55 - 55 (110 meetings)
55
55
Staal Backlund
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Backlund

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
23
8
Staal Backlund
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
14
28
Staal Backlund
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
18
19
Staal Backlund
37 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Staal
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
49.7% (13,463)
+6.2%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
51.5% (1,338)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
43.9% (2,465)
+4.0%
On power play, Staal has a +11.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (11,020).
Home / Away
Staal
Backlund
Home
56.4% (9,699)
49.7% (8,621)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
48.3% (8,650)
By Period
Staal
Backlund
P1
55.2%
48.5%
P2
55.9%
50.3%
P3
54.8%
48.4%
OT
56.2%
45.1%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%
52.5%
55.3%
Backlund
50.0%
50.0%
49.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 7, 2026 3 19:48 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Mar 7, 2026 3 05:15 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 7, 2026 3 04:00 Offensive Jordan Staal
Mar 7, 2026 2 19:01 Offensive Jordan Staal
Mar 7, 2026 1 17:06 Offensive Jordan Staal
Nov 30, 2025 3 16:36 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 30, 2025 3 11:43 Defensive Jordan Staal
Nov 30, 2025 2 08:51 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 30, 2025 2 04:45 Offensive Jordan Staal
Nov 30, 2025 2 00:57 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 30, 2025 1 13:15 Offensive Jordan Staal
Nov 30, 2025 1 13:08 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 30, 2025 1 09:42 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Nov 30, 2025 1 09:00 Offensive Jordan Staal
Nov 30, 2025 1 08:49 Neutral Mikael Backlund
Mar 2, 2025 3 08:38 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 2, 2025 3 03:47 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 2, 2025 2 17:59 Defensive Mikael Backlund
Mar 2, 2025 2 01:17 Defensive Jordan Staal
Mar 2, 2025 1 18:36 Defensive Mikael Backlund