Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Schmaltz 48.4% (+9.6%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 74.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.7%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 51.2%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Staal
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
42.9% (133)
+16.0%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
55.1% (89)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
47.1% (17)
+2.0%
On even strength, Staal has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Staal shoots left. Schmaltz is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Staal
Schmaltz
Home
59.0% (578)
41.6% (125)
Away
55.9% (707)
54.4% (114)
By Period
Staal
Schmaltz
P1
57.1%
40.0%
P2
60.9%
59.5%
P3
55.8%
45.0%
OT
20.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
60.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
57.3%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
47.7%