Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 59.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 66.2%
66.2%
33.8%
Staal
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
45.9% (697)
+10.3%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
47.9% (117)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
48.0% (25)
-5.3%
On power play, Staal has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Staal
Schmaltz
Home
55.4% (699)
44.9% (434)
Away
54.4% (702)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Staal
Schmaltz
P1
55.7%
41.5%
P2
54.7%
46.7%
P3
53.4%
51.1%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |