Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Suzuki 50.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 14-11 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Suzuki 58.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Staal
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
11
(25 meetings)
14
11
Staal
Suzuki
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
5
8
Staal
Suzuki
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Suzuki
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Suzuki
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
51.3% (945)
+4.9%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
50.7% (282)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
40.3% (67)
+2.4%
On power play, Staal has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Staal
Suzuki
Home
55.4% (699)
51.0% (637)
Away
54.4% (702)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Staal
Suzuki
P1
55.7%
53.1%
P2
54.7%
47.4%
P3
53.4%
51.3%
OT
70.0%
48.6%
Final 5 min
56.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |