Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 42 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Suzuki 49.4% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 73-30 in 103 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 87.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 97.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 91.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 92.4%
92.4%
7.6%
Staal
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
73
-
30
(103 meetings)
73
30
Staal
Suzuki
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
17
20
Staal
Suzuki
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
37
5
Staal
Suzuki
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
19
5
Staal
Suzuki
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
49.4% (6,368)
+6.5%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
50.8% (1,355)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
44.0% (466)
+3.9%
On power play, Staal has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Staal shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,968).
Home / Away
Staal
Suzuki
Home
56.4% (9,699)
51.1% (4,031)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
47.7% (4,158)
By Period
Staal
Suzuki
P1
55.2%
48.9%
P2
55.9%
49.1%
P3
54.8%
50.3%
OT
56.2%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 05:16 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 14:43 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 16:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 01:21 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 19:59 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |