Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+14.7%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 61.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.9%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 51.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Staal
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
40.5% (190)
+15.7%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
42.9% (14)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
30.0% (10)
+12.7%
On power play, Staal has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Staal
Buchnevich
Home
55.4% (699)
40.7% (118)
Away
54.4% (702)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Staal
Buchnevich
P1
55.7%
42.3%
P2
54.7%
37.5%
P3
53.4%
40.3%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%