Jordan Staal vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +20.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Buchnevich shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+20.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 87.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 98.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 96.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 96.7%
96.7%
3.3%
Staal
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Staal
Buchnevich
Last 10: Staal 9-1 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
1
Staal
Buchnevich
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Buchnevich
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
34.5% (931)
+21.4%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
44.2% (52)
+18.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
24.3% (37)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Buchnevich is 33.5% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Staal
Buchnevich
Home
56.4% (9,699)
35.6% (517)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Staal
Buchnevich
P1
55.2%
35.2%
P2
55.9%
34.8%
P3
54.8%
33.4%
OT
56.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 00:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 10:40 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 05:17 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:35 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 1 | 03:08 | Defensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 1 | 02:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 19:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |