Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Zacha 50.1% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 86.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 80.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Staal
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Zacha
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Zacha
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
48.0% (296)
+10.9%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
61.0% (59)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
50.0% (22)
-0.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (217).
Home / Away
Staal
Zacha
Home
59.0% (578)
48.9% (223)
Away
55.9% (707)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Staal
Zacha
P1
57.1%
47.9%
P2
60.9%
48.3%
P3
55.8%
54.3%
OT
20.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
60.5%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:19 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |