Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Suter 48.3% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 67.2%
Defensive zone
Suter 70.8%
Neutral zone
Suter 71.4%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 68.1%
31.9%
68.1%
Staal
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Staal
Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
2
Staal
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Staal
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
49.7% (372)
+6.5%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
47.4% (19)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
39.8% (83)
+2.9%
On power play, Staal has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Suter is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Staal
Suter
Home
55.4% (699)
47.1% (242)
Away
54.4% (702)
48.7% (232)
By Period
Staal
Suter
P1
55.7%
48.2%
P2
54.7%
47.7%
P3
53.4%
48.8%
OT
70.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Suter
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:46 | Offensive | Pius Suter |