Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Kupari 52.1% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 81.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.4%
74.4%
25.6%
Staal
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Staal
Kupari
Last 8: Staal 6-2 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Kupari
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kupari
0
1
Staal
Kupari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Kupari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
53.5% (413)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
0.0% (1)
+57.7%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
48.2% (85)
-3.1%
On power play, Staal has a +57.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Staal shoots left. Kupari is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Staal
Kupari
Home
54.3% (667)
52.1% (257)
Away
54.7% (662)
52.9% (242)
By Period
Staal
Kupari
P1
56.2%
50.6%
P2
57.0%
53.6%
P3
49.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |