Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 58.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kupari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Kupari 50.4% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 80.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 79.3%
79.3%
20.7%
Staal
Kupari
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Staal
Kupari
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Kupari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Kupari
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Kupari
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
2
Staal
Kupari
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kupari
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
50.5% (1,275)
+5.5%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
43.5% (23)
+19.1%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
50.4% (139)
-2.3%
On power play, Staal has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kupari shoots right. Staal is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (6,477).
Staal shoots left. Kupari is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,056).
Home / Away
Staal
Kupari
Home
56.4% (9,518)
51.4% (782)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
49.2% (655)
By Period
Staal
Kupari
P1
55.1%
49.9%
P2
56.0%
48.5%
P3
55.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
56.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Kupari
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Defensive | Rasmus Kupari |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 16:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 06:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Rasmus Kupari |