Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Greig 51.1% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 70.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 53.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.6%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Staal
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Staal
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
51.9% (347)
+4.3%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
66.7% (24)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
44.8% (87)
-2.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Staal
Greig
Home
55.4% (699)
50.4% (254)
Away
54.4% (702)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Staal
Greig
P1
55.7%
45.9%
P2
54.7%
60.1%
P3
53.4%
49.2%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |