Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Greig 49.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 82.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 79.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Staal
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Staal
Greig
Last 9: Staal 6-3 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Staal
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Greig
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Greig
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
48.7% (1,144)
+7.2%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
56.8% (74)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
47.2% (178)
+0.7%
On even strength, Staal has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Staal
Greig
Home
56.4% (9,699)
49.9% (688)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
48.0% (708)
By Period
Staal
Greig
P1
55.2%
46.0%
P2
55.9%
51.8%
P3
54.8%
49.1%
OT
56.2%
28.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 15:02 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 12:08 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |