Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (58.1% vs 58.3%). Staal wins 57.4% vs left-shot opponents — Fabbri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 57.6% vs Fabbri 54.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 65.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 93.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.2%
83.2%
16.8%
Staal
Fabbri
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Fabbri
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Fabbri
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Fabbri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,096)
48.2% (56)
+10.7%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
68.3% (63)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (222)
0.0% (1)
+51.8%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +51.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Staal shoots left. Fabbri is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (63).
Home / Away
Staal
Fabbri
Home
57.0% (646)
56.5% (69)
Away
59.1% (729)
60.8% (51)
By Period
Staal
Fabbri
P1
55.9%
48.6%
P2
55.4%
60.4%
P3
62.0%
65.7%
Final 5 min
63.1%
63.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
58.1%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |