Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Fabbri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Fabbri 47.3% (+9.0%)
Offensive zone
Fabbri 64.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Staal
Fabbri
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Fabbri
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
44.2% (113)
+12.8%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
55.6% (18)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
44.0% (25)
+1.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fabbri shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Fabbri is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Staal
Fabbri
Home
54.3% (667)
49.2% (61)
Away
54.7% (662)
43.2% (95)
By Period
Staal
Fabbri
P1
56.2%
37.7%
P2
57.0%
41.9%
P3
49.7%
54.2%
OT
68.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
Fabbri
44.0%▼
51.0%
45.5%