Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Hintz 51.6% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Hintz leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 71.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.6%
Neutral zone
Hintz 53.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Staal
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Staal
Hintz
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
4
Staal
Hintz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Hintz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
3
Staal
Hintz
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,115)
52.6% (439)
+3.7%
Power Play
61.2% (67)
37.9% (29)
+23.3%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
63.6% (11)
-11.5%
On power play, Staal has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (946).
Staal shoots left. Hintz is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (294).
Home / Away
Staal
Hintz
Home
58.3% (705)
53.5% (256)
Away
53.3% (769)
50.2% (223)
By Period
Staal
Hintz
P1
54.5%
59.5%
P2
58.2%
49.2%
P3
54.1%
47.1%
OT
60.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.7%
Hintz
70.0%▲
61.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 11:36 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:33 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:24 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:20 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 07:31 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |