Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Hintz 58.0% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hintz 81.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.4%
Neutral zone
Hintz 65.1%
Result
Roope Hintz favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Staal
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Staal
Hintz
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Hintz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
4
Staal
Hintz
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
58.7% (530)
-2.5%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
59.4% (170)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
66.7% (27)
-24.0%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Staal
Hintz
Home
55.4% (699)
60.2% (354)
Away
54.4% (702)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Staal
Hintz
P1
55.7%
58.4%
P2
54.7%
59.8%
P3
53.4%
58.2%
OT
70.0%
81.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 06:59 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 2 | 02:46 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 15:45 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 13:32 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 14:23 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |