Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Colton 49.2% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Colton 71.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.7%
Neutral zone
Colton 55.3%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Staal
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Colton
0
1
Staal
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
47.3% (91)
+8.9%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
71.4% (7)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
0.0% (1)
+42.7%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Colton is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Staal
Colton
Home
55.4% (699)
46.9% (49)
Away
54.4% (702)
50.0% (50)
By Period
Staal
Colton
P1
55.7%
56.4%
P2
54.7%
47.1%
P3
53.4%
38.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Ross Colton |