Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Colton 51.1% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 62.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Staal
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Staal
Colton
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Colton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Staal
Colton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
51.6% (1,803)
+4.3%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
48.8% (162)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
34.5% (29)
+13.4%
On power play, Staal has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Colton is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,297).
Home / Away
Staal
Colton
Home
56.4% (9,699)
52.0% (1,015)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
50.3% (979)
By Period
Staal
Colton
P1
55.2%
53.7%
P2
55.9%
52.6%
P3
54.8%
47.9%
OT
56.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Colton
46.0%▲
44.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |