Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Colton 51.0% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 61.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 77.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 69.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 68.9%
68.9%
31.1%
Staal
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Staal
Colton
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Colton
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Colton
1
3
Staal
Colton
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Colton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (14,405)
51.6% (1,788)
+4.4%
Power Play
62.6% (1,691)
48.4% (159)
+14.2%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (2,841)
34.5% (29)
+13.6%
On power play, Staal has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Staal shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,283).
Home / Away
Staal
Colton
Home
56.4% (9,518)
51.9% (1,004)
Away
54.4% (9,484)
50.2% (972)
By Period
Staal
Colton
P1
55.1%
53.3%
P2
56.0%
52.6%
P3
55.0%
47.9%
OT
55.6%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Colton
38.0%▼
41.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Offensive | Ross Colton |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 16:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 16:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Neutral | Ross Colton |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Ross Colton |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 09:56 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 06:06 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |