Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Hartman 45.6% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 77.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 81.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 83.1%
83.1%
16.9%
Staal
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Staal
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hartman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
45.1% (874)
+11.1%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
47.4% (95)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
37.5% (16)
+5.2%
On power play, Staal has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Hartman is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Staal
Hartman
Home
55.4% (699)
45.0% (515)
Away
54.4% (702)
45.3% (470)
By Period
Staal
Hartman
P1
55.7%
47.3%
P2
54.7%
40.1%
P3
53.4%
48.3%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |