Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Hartman 45.4% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 72.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 87.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 83.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Staal
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Staal
Hartman
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
4
Staal
Hartman
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
45.2% (4,279)
+10.7%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
47.3% (446)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
42.4% (262)
+5.5%
On power play, Staal has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Staal shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,596).
Home / Away
Staal
Hartman
Home
56.4% (9,699)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
43.7% (2,398)
By Period
Staal
Hartman
P1
55.2%
46.1%
P2
55.9%
42.9%
P3
54.8%
46.7%
OT
56.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Hartman
50.0%▬
50.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 2 | 16:17 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:26 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 14:53 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Apr 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 10:48 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |