Jordan Staal vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+8.5%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.4%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
46.0% (250)
+10.2%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
70.6% (17)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
31.8% (22)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.4% (699)
50.3% (175)
Away
54.4% (702)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.7%
48.5%
P2
54.7%
45.9%
P3
53.4%
46.5%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%