Jordan Staal vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 29-16 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 89.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 97.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 96.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 94.7%
94.7%
5.3%
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
29
-
16
(45 meetings)
29
16
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
5
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
10
3
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
11
8
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
44.8% (8,775)
+11.1%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
50.6% (844)
+12.1%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
37.8% (880)
+10.1%
On power play, Staal has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
56.4% (9,699)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
55.2%
45.1%
P2
55.9%
43.9%
P3
54.8%
45.2%
OT
56.2%
43.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:34 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 18:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 16:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 16:55 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 13:22 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 10:24 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 02:57 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 14:18 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |