Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Poehling 48.3% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 19-9 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 96.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 87.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
Staal
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
9
(28 meetings)
19
9
Staal
Poehling
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
4
Staal
Poehling
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Staal
Poehling
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
10
2
Staal
Poehling
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
49.6% (2,780)
+6.3%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
51.6% (93)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
41.7% (635)
+6.2%
On power play, Staal has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Poehling is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,357).
Home / Away
Staal
Poehling
Home
56.4% (9,699)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Staal
Poehling
P1
55.2%
50.8%
P2
55.9%
47.1%
P3
54.8%
47.2%
OT
56.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 2 | 00:14 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 16:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 8, 2026 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:41 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:24 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 1 | 08:28 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 21, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 15, 2023 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:32 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |