Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Staal wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 56.8% vs Couturier 54.5% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 53.3%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Staal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Staal
Couturier
Last 9: Staal 5-4 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
2
3
Staal
Couturier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
58.9% (1,041)
57.4% (303)
+1.5%
Power Play
53.4% (73)
65.5% (55)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (171)
40.0% (70)
+9.1%
On power play, Couturier has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Staal is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Staal shoots left. Couturier is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Staal
Couturier
Home
59.0% (578)
54.3% (219)
Away
55.9% (707)
56.9% (209)
By Period
Staal
Couturier
P1
57.1%
53.2%
P2
60.9%
54.8%
P3
55.8%
57.9%
OT
20.8%
71.4%
Final 5 min
60.5%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Couturier
46.0%▼
47.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 13:14 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 08:12 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 3 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 18:36 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |