Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Couturier 53.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Couturier leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 60.1%
Defensive zone
Couturier 58.8%
Neutral zone
Couturier 51.8%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Staal
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Staal
Couturier
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
3
Staal
Couturier
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couturier
3
4
Staal
Couturier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
4
9
Staal
Couturier
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
53.9% (792)
+2.3%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
62.9% (70)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
51.3% (234)
-8.6%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Staal
Couturier
Home
55.4% (699)
51.4% (541)
Away
54.4% (702)
56.4% (555)
By Period
Staal
Couturier
P1
55.7%
56.0%
P2
54.7%
52.6%
P3
53.4%
54.3%
OT
70.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
56.7%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Couturier
64.0%▲
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | OT | 03:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 14:24 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 2 | 05:46 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | OT | 01:52 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:02 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Sean Couturier |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 11, 2025 | OT | 04:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |