Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 54.3%). Staal wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.2% vs Kuraly 53.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 55.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Staal
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Staal
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Staal
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Staal
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.0% (1,017)
55.3% (515)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.7% (26)
55.6% (9)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (286)
44.8% (58)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Staal is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (988).
Staal shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Staal
Kuraly
Home
54.3% (667)
57.3% (293)
Away
54.7% (662)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Staal
Kuraly
P1
56.2%
53.8%
P2
57.0%
51.5%
P3
49.7%
57.6%
OT
68.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.8%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.5%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 10:19 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |