Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Kuraly 51.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 65.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 58.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Staal
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Staal
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Staal
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
52.6% (464)
+3.6%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
100.0% (1)
-34.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
46.5% (155)
-3.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +34.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Staal
Kuraly
Home
55.4% (699)
55.9% (322)
Away
54.4% (702)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Staal
Kuraly
P1
55.7%
55.9%
P2
54.7%
46.7%
P3
53.4%
50.7%
OT
70.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |