Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +17.6% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 65.0% vs right-shot opponents — Konecny shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Konecny 45.7% (+17.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 57.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Staal
Konecny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Konecny
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Konecny
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Konecny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Konecny
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
38.9% (36)
+17.3%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
11.1% (9)
+54.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
66.7% (6)
-24.0%
On power play, Staal has a +54.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konecny shoots right. Staal is 65.0% vs right-shot opponents (431).
Staal shoots left. Konecny is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Staal
Konecny
Home
55.4% (699)
28.1% (32)
Away
54.4% (702)
52.6% (19)
By Period
Staal
Konecny
P1
55.7%
29.2%
P2
54.7%
41.2%
P3
53.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Konecny
38.0%▼
40.0%
37.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |