Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Staal wins 58.8% vs right-shot opponents — Konecny shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Konecny 41.9% (+15.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 61.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 97.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 92.2%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 87.8%
87.8%
12.2%
Staal
Konecny
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Staal
Konecny
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Konecny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Konecny
0
3
Staal
Konecny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
1
Staal
Konecny
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Konecny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Konecny
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
39.9% (363)
+16.0%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
37.7% (61)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
46.7% (30)
+1.2%
On power play, Staal has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Konecny shoots right. Staal is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (6,583).
Staal shoots left. Konecny is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Staal
Konecny
Home
56.4% (9,699)
36.9% (241)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
43.7% (213)
By Period
Staal
Konecny
P1
55.2%
37.7%
P2
55.9%
37.3%
P3
54.8%
47.9%
OT
56.2%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Konecny
38.0%▼
40.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2025 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Travis Konecny |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 3 | 12:11 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:47 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:43 | Defensive | Travis Konecny |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 05:18 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |