Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Kozak 49.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 85.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 56.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.7%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 85.7%
85.7%
14.3%
Staal
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
49.3% (294)
+6.9%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
60.0% (5)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
50.0% (40)
-7.3%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Staal
Kozak
Home
55.4% (699)
45.5% (145)
Away
54.4% (702)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Staal
Kozak
P1
55.7%
53.4%
P2
54.7%
50.0%
P3
53.4%
44.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |