Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.1% vs Kozak 49.5% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 81.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 66.5%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 81.7%
81.7%
18.3%
Staal
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Staal
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Kozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
57.2% (740)
49.4% (245)
+7.8%
Power Play
67.0% (88)
50.0% (4)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (187)
48.1% (27)
-4.2%
On power play, Staal has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Staal is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Staal shoots left. Kozak is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Staal
Kozak
Home
55.4% (518)
44.7% (132)
Away
55.7% (497)
53.5% (144)
By Period
Staal
Kozak
P1
53.6%
54.2%
P2
56.6%
48.0%
P3
55.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
56.8%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.6%
Kozak
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |