Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 54.6% vs Trenin 44.8% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 81.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 86.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
Staal
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Staal
Trenin
Last 8: Staal 6-2 Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
Staal
Trenin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Trenin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Trenin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (989)
40.7% (91)
+15.5%
Power Play
66.0% (159)
0.0% (1)
+66.0%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (253)
40.0% (20)
+2.7%
On power play, Staal has a +66.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Staal shoots left. Trenin is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (79).
Home / Away
Staal
Trenin
Home
55.4% (699)
45.5% (55)
Away
54.4% (702)
35.1% (57)
By Period
Staal
Trenin
P1
55.7%
40.4%
P2
54.7%
38.7%
P3
53.4%
41.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Trenin
44.0%▲
40.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |