Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Trenin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 55.3% vs Trenin 43.7% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 91.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 91.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 90.4%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Staal
Trenin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Staal
Trenin
Last 8: Staal 6-2 Trenin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trenin
0
1
Staal
Trenin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Trenin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
0
Staal
Trenin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Trenin
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (14,654)
43.0% (356)
+12.9%
Power Play
62.7% (1,762)
33.3% (6)
+29.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (2,907)
41.0% (105)
+6.9%
On power play, Staal has a +29.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trenin shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Staal shoots left. Trenin is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Staal
Trenin
Home
56.4% (9,699)
45.6% (248)
Away
54.3% (9,689)
38.8% (219)
By Period
Staal
Trenin
P1
55.2%
42.7%
P2
55.9%
47.7%
P3
54.8%
35.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Trenin
44.0%▲
40.5%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 07:39 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 03:12 | Defensive | Yakov Trenin |
| Nov 19, 2025 | 1 | 03:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |