Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Norris wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kasper shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 53.4% vs Kasper 45.6% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 60.8%
Defensive zone
Norris 84.0%
Neutral zone
Norris 66.7%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Norris
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Norris
Kasper
Last 5: Norris 4-1 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Kasper
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Kasper
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Norris
Kasper
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (560)
45.1% (586)
+8.5%
Power Play
56.0% (109)
52.2% (23)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (98)
29.4% (17)
+23.7%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +23.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Norris shoots left. Kasper is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (411).
Home / Away
Norris
Kasper
Home
53.6% (373)
47.9% (280)
Away
54.1% (394)
42.5% (346)
By Period
Norris
Kasper
P1
61.8%
45.8%
P2
51.7%
50.0%
P3
49.8%
38.4%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.8%
Kasper
60.0%▲
49.0%
44.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Josh Norris |