Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Kasper 46.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 78.3%
Defensive zone
Norris 79.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 82.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Norris
Kasper
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Norris
Kasper
Last 6: Norris 5-1 Kasper
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
2
0
Norris
Kasper
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Kasper
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
2
1
Norris
Kasper
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Kasper
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
47.2% (960)
+5.3%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
46.9% (32)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
30.6% (36)
+14.8%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kasper shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Norris shoots left. Kasper is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (683).
Home / Away
Norris
Kasper
Home
53.1% (1,896)
49.4% (474)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
44.2% (554)
By Period
Norris
Kasper
P1
55.5%
48.0%
P2
51.5%
51.0%
P3
50.1%
40.2%
OT
39.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 12, 2025 | 3 | 12:28 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 01:21 | Neutral | Marco Kasper |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Josh Norris |