Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Norris wins 43.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 49.9% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 67.9%
Defensive zone
Norris 65.4%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 51.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Norris
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Norris
Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
2
Norris
Scheifele
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
1
0
Norris
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (388)
46.5% (919)
+4.0%
Power Play
47.6% (84)
48.7% (187)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.0% (54)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Scheifele has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Norris is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Norris shoots left. Scheifele is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Norris
Scheifele
Home
48.1% (233)
46.6% (605)
Away
51.6% (246)
47.4% (555)
By Period
Norris
Scheifele
P1
53.1%
52.3%
P2
49.2%
45.3%
P3
48.4%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
46.5%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |