Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (74% H2H, 19 meetings). Norris wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Norris 52.1% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 29-23 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.4%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 62.0%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 64.5%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Norris
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
29
(52 meetings)
23
29
Norris
Scheifele
Last 10: Norris 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
14
Norris
Scheifele
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
12
5
Norris
Scheifele
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
6
10
Norris
Scheifele
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Norris
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (3,089)
46.3% (12,077)
+6.2%
Power Play
53.4% (412)
50.2% (2,576)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (240)
41.6% (598)
+3.8%
On even strength, Norris has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Norris shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,862).
Home / Away
Norris
Scheifele
Home
53.1% (1,896)
48.9% (7,678)
Away
51.2% (1,845)
44.7% (7,574)
By Period
Norris
Scheifele
P1
55.5%
48.2%
P2
51.5%
45.6%
P3
50.1%
46.8%
OT
39.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Scheifele
44.0%▼
54.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 17:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 12:29 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 09:37 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 09:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 15:01 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 02:13 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 02:34 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 2 | 16:28 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 11:13 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 10:58 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |